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Our paper explores the possibility of randomly
assigning groups (or "clusters") of individuals
to a program or a control group in order to estimate the impacts
of programs designed to affect whole groups. This cluster
assignment approach maintains the primary strength of random
assignmentthe provision of unbiased impact estimatesbut
has less statistical power than random assignment of individuals,
which usually is not possible for programs focused on whole
groups. To explore the statistical implications of cluster
assignment we: (1) outline the issues involved, (2) present
an analytic framework for studying these issues, and (3) apply
this framework to assess the potential for using the approach
to evaluate education programs targeted on whole schools.
Our findings suggest that cluster assignment of schools holds
some promise for estimating the impacts of education programs
when it is possible to control for the average performance
of past student cohorts or the past performance of individual
students.
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